Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000615 0.000698 0.000785 0.000885 0.000994 0.001110 0.001243
2026-01-18 0.000478 0.000591 0.000719 0.000874 0.001054 0.001257 0.001502
2026-01-25 0.000411 0.000540 0.000691 0.000882 0.001114 0.001383 0.001718
2026-02-01 0.000358 0.000496 0.000665 0.000885 0.001160 0.001490 0.001912
2026-02-08 0.000304 0.000442 0.000619 0.000857 0.001163 0.001541 0.002035
2026-02-15 0.000261 0.000399 0.000581 0.000834 0.001169 0.001590 0.002154
2026-02-22 0.000233 0.000371 0.000560 0.000829 0.001195 0.001665 0.002305
2026-03-01 0.000210 0.000348 0.000544 0.000829 0.001225 0.001743 0.002461
2026-03-08 0.000187 0.000324 0.000522 0.000819 0.001240 0.001802 0.002592
2026-03-15 0.000166 0.000300 0.000500 0.000806 0.001249 0.001851 0.002710
2026-03-22 0.000157 0.000294 0.000502 0.000828 0.001308 0.001968 0.002921
2026-03-29 0.000147 0.000284 0.000498 0.000841 0.001353 0.002067 0.003110
2026-04-05 0.000132 0.000266 0.000482 0.000834 0.001369 0.002127 0.003248
2026-04-12 0.000119 0.000249 0.000464 0.000823 0.001379 0.002178 0.003374
2026-04-19 0.000110 0.000240 0.000459 0.000831 0.001417 0.002268 0.003558
2026-04-26 0.000102 0.000229 0.000450 0.000833 0.001445 0.002346 0.003724
2026-05-03 0.000089 0.000210 0.000425 0.000807 0.001428 0.002355 0.003790
2026-05-10 0.000078 0.000193 0.000404 0.000785 0.001416 0.002372 0.003869
2026-05-17 0.000072 0.000183 0.000393 0.000781 0.001432 0.002430 0.004007
2026-05-24 0.000066 0.000175 0.000385 0.000780 0.001454 0.002496 0.004160
2026-05-31 0.000059 0.000164 0.000372 0.000771 0.001460 0.002540 0.004278
2026-06-07 0.000053 0.000154 0.000359 0.000758 0.001461 0.002573 0.004382
2026-06-14 0.000052 0.000153 0.000363 0.000780 0.001518 0.002697 0.004626